PC DIAGNOSIS DISTRIBUTION TABLE |
|
USMA '58 |
|
Known PC Diagnoses within Class By Year |
8 |
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|
X |
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|
X |
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|
7 |
|
|
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|
X |
|
X |
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|
X |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
X |
|
X |
|
X |
|
X |
X |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
X |
X |
[X] |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
X |
X |
[X] |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
[X] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
|
1 |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
[X] |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
|
|
Yr |
'86 |
/ / |
'93 |
'94 |
'95 |
'96 |
'97 |
'98 |
'99 |
'00 |
'01 |
'02 |
'03 |
'04 |
'05 |
'06 |
'07 |
'08 |
'09 |
'10 |
'11 |
'12 |
'13 |
'14 |
'15 |
'16 |
'17 |
'18 |
|
Cohort Size |
596 |
|
584 |
578 |
572 |
567 |
560 |
554 |
546 |
533 |
522 |
507 |
496 |
489 |
480 |
469 |
462 |
443 |
430 |
418 |
406 |
398 |
389 |
380 |
372 |
360 |
333 |
[321] |
|
Assumed Ages at Diagnosis: |
51 |
|
58 |
59 |
60 |
61 |
62 |
63 |
64 |
65 |
66 |
67 |
68 |
69 |
70 |
71 |
72 |
73 |
74 |
75 |
76 |
77 |
78 |
79 |
80 |
81 |
82 |
83 |
|
Expected Cases in Like Size Population of White U.S. Males: |
1 |
8 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Actual
Cases, USMA '58: |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
8 |
5 |
7 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
Expected Cumulative Cases, U.S: |
2 |
10 |
12 |
15 |
18 |
21 |
24 |
28 |
32 |
36 |
41 |
46 |
51 |
55 |
59 |
63 |
67 |
71 |
74 |
78 |
80 |
83 |
85 |
87 |
89 |
91 |
93 |
|
|
Actual
Cumulative Cases, USMA '58: |
1 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
11 |
16 |
24 |
29 |
36 |
40 |
46 |
51 |
59 |
65 |
69 |
73 |
77 |
80 |
81 |
83 |
84 |
85 |
87 |
88 |
88 |
|
The above table compares the occurrences of
prostate cancer diagnoses within our class by year through 2017 to those of
the national average as taken from US Government SEER data , specifically,
Age-Specific (Crude) SEER Incidence Rates All Ages White Males. Data for
projections for 2018 are not available for our age group and beyond. |
|
The Cohort Size numbers by year comprises those
classmates, both grads and those non-grads who are included on the class
mailing list (but not those turned back to later classes) -- those with whom
we have a fair likelihood of being in contact and hearing from or about
should any be diagnosed with PC. The Cohort Size numbers are yearly averages
and reflect both mortality and the removal of those previously diagnosed with
PC. The [X]s represent
unconfirmed dates of diagnosis. |
|
The 88 total known cases shown for the class could
be understated, i.e. there may still be other classmates with PC out there
whom we don't know about. The class is lumped into an average age with a
birth year of 1935. |
|
The
cumulative comparison suggests that the class had remained well below the
national norm for many years. However, given the small class population size,
the differences are not statistically significant and may be explainable as
normal sampling variations and/or unreported cases within the class. |
|
Last Updated: 5 August 2018 |
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