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PC DIAGNOSIS DISTRIBUTION
TABLE |
USMA '58 |
Known PC Diagnoses within Class By Year |
8 |
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X |
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|
X |
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7 |
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X |
|
X |
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|
X |
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6 |
|
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|
X |
|
X |
|
X |
|
X |
X |
|
|
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|
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|
5 |
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X |
X |
[X] |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
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|
4 |
|
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X |
X |
[X] |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
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|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
[X] |
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|
|
|
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|
2 |
|
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
|
|
1 |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Yr |
'86 |
/ / |
'93 |
'94 |
'95 |
'96 |
'97 |
'98 |
'99 |
'00 |
'01 |
'02 |
'03 |
'04 |
'05 |
'06 |
'07 |
'08 |
'09 |
'10 |
'11 |
'12 |
'13 |
'14 |
'15 |
'16 |
'17 |
Cohort Size |
597 |
|
584 |
580 |
574 |
568 |
563 |
555 |
548 |
540 |
526 |
514 |
502 |
495 |
486 |
478 |
464 |
448 |
436 |
422 |
414 |
404 |
395 |
389 |
378 |
[370] |
[362] |
Assumed
Ages at Diagnosis: |
51 |
|
58 |
59 |
60 |
61 |
62 |
63 |
64 |
65 |
66 |
67 |
68 |
69 |
70 |
71 |
72 |
73 |
74 |
75 |
76 |
77 |
78 |
79 |
80 |
81 |
82 |
Expected
Cases in Like Size Population of White U.S. Males: |
1 |
8 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
[2] |
[2] |
Actual
Cases, USMA '58: |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
8 |
5 |
7 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
6 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Expected
Cumulative Cases, U.S: |
2 |
10 |
12 |
15 |
18 |
21 |
24 |
28 |
32 |
36 |
41 |
46 |
51 |
55 |
59 |
63 |
67 |
71 |
74 |
77 |
80 |
83 |
85 |
87 |
89 |
[91] |
[93] |
Actual
Cumulative Cases, USMA '58: |
1 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
11 |
16 |
24 |
29 |
36 |
40 |
46 |
51 |
59 |
65 |
68 |
72 |
76 |
78 |
79 |
81 |
82 |
82 |
83 |
[86] |
The above table compares the occurrences of prostate cancer
diagnoses within our class by year to those of the national average as taken
from US Government SEER data found at
<http://seer.cancer.gov/faststats/>, specifically, Age-Specific (Crude)
SEER Incidence Rates All Ages White Males, taking the number of occurrences
of PC diagnoses per year within a population of 100,000 within five-year age
brackets. We proportioned the data to our class population by year,
distributed the yearly rates within each of the five-year brackets using
straight-line interpolations, and rounded off the results to the nearest
integers. |
The Cohort Size numbers by year comprises those classmates, both
grads and those non-grads who are included on the class mailing list (but not
those turned back to later classes) -- those with whom we have a fair
likelihood of being in contact and hearing from or about should any be
diagnosed with PC. The Cohort Size numbers reflect both mortality and the
removal of those previously diagnosed with PC. The [X]s represent unconfirmed dates of diagnosis. |
The 83 total known cases shown for the class could be
understated, i.e. there may still be other classmates with PC out there whom
we don't know about. The class is lumped into an average age with a birth
year of 1935. Projections for 2016 are shown in brackets and are based
on projections of current trends. |
The
cumulative comparison suggests that the class had remained well below the
national norm for many years. However, given the small class population size,
the differences are not statistically significant and may be explainable as
normal sampling variations and/or unreported cases within the class. |
Last Updated: 15 May 2016 |
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